MLB Closing Line Value by Sportsbook — April–September 2026

Across ~2370 MLB games and 36,661 moneyline prices from 9 Canadian sportsbooks, not one beat Pinnacle's closing line on average. The market-wide average was −1.91% CLV. FanDuel gave up the least edge to the close (−1.45%); BetRivers priced furthest from it (−2.39%). A book's CLV here is a property of how soft its lines were, not a bettor's skill. FanDuel, Caesars, Hard Rock and DraftKings ran temporary reduced-juice MLB moneyline promotions during this window, which lifts their averages (marked † below).

Beat Pinnacle
0 / 9
books, positive avg CLV
Market Avg CLV
−1.91%
moneyline vs Pinnacle close
Softest Book
FanDuel
−1.45% avg CLV
Sample
36,661
moneyline lines · 9 books

Book leaderboard — moneyline

Avg Moneyline CLV by Book
FanDuel−1.45%Caesars−1.56%Hard Rock−1.57%theScore Bet−1.62%DraftKings−1.90%Bovada−2.26%Fanatics−2.33%BetMGM−2.37%BetRivers−2.39%

Longer bar = further below Pinnacle's closing line. Every book priced below the sharp close on average, so all CLV is negative — the softest book simply gave up the least.

#
Book
Avg CLV
Events
1
FanDuel †
−1.45%
2369
2
Caesars †
−1.56%
2370
3
Hard Rock * †
−1.57%
1987
4
theScore Bet *
−1.62%
1994
5
DraftKings †
−1.90%
2369
6
Bovada *
−2.26%
578
7
Fanatics *
−2.33%
1975
8
BetMGM
−2.37%
2370
9
BetRivers
−2.39%
2345

* Fewer than 6 months of data — the book entered the archive mid-window, so its sample is smaller.

† Includes August 2026 and September 2026, when this book ran a temporary reduced-juice promotion on MLB moneylines. Those promotional prices were real, but they lift the book's average above how it normally prices.

Every market, pooled

Pooled by Market — all books
Moneyline
13% beat close−1.91%
Spread
13% beat close−1.91%
433 events · 17% of lines excluded (point movement) · 10% benchmarked to last snapshot
Totals
15% beat close−1.62%
434 events · 15% of lines excluded (point movement) · 36% benchmarked to last snapshot

On spread and totals markets the figure reflects price competitiveness at lines matched to Pinnacle's closing point — selections where the point moved are excluded, so this is not full line-movement CLV. The moneyline number is the true CLV.

Method: TrueLine snapshots odds across Canadian sportsbooks every 30 minutes. For each MLB game we take a book's last price before Pinnacle's close and measure closing line value against that close, then pool by book across April–September 2026 weighted by number of lines. The moneyline leaderboard is the headline number — it carries no point-matching caveat.